自主创新及产业升级对就业增长的影响问题的的分析研究.pdfVIP

摘要 自主创新与产业升级对就业增长的影响问题的研究 摘 要 改革开放以来,我国的经济发展取得了举世瞩目的高速增长,但是目前的劳动力就 业压力却越来越大。也就是说,较高的经济增长并没有拉动就业率的快速增长，尤其是 近几年大学生就业的问题愈发突出。这与中国的经济发展方式不无关系，产业结构与就 业结构匹配度不高，是我国就业问题突出问题所在。解决这种状况要求我国转变传统的 经济发展方式，对当前的产业进行升级，尤其是要利用自主创新来推动我国从低端产业 向高端产业转变。 本文在归纳总结相关国内外文献的基础上，基于1990—2012年我国省际面板数据， 采用扩展型C-D生产函数分析了自主创新、产业升级对就业增长的影响。通过单位根检 验、协整关系检验、面板修正标准差 （PCSE）估计来对三者之间的关系进行了实证研究。 本文的实证研究结果表明：自主创新、产业升级对扩大我国就业有显著的积极作用， 特别是代表自主创新的技术创新对就业的积极影响尤为明显。同时，自主创新、产业升 级对我国就业的影响在东、中、西部三大地区存在差别。论文在最后阐述了上述结论背 后重要的政策含义。 关键词：自主创新；产业升级；就业增长；面板数据 I Abstract TheStudyofthe ImpactsofIndependentinnovationand industrialupgradingonemploymentgrowth ABSTRACT Since the reform and opening up, Chinas economic has made remarkable growth,but employmentpressure atpresent ismore andmoreheavy Thatisto say,thehigh economic growth has not bring about employment rate, especially in recent years, college studentsemploymentproblemsbecome more andmoreprominent Thisisrelated to Chinas economic development mode, the matching degree is not very high between industrial structureandemploymentstructure, istheveryanswerofemploymentproblemsinchina To solve this situation requires China to change the traditional mode of economic development, to upgrade the current industry, especially use independent innovation topromoteChinasindustryshiftfromthe low-endto thehigh-end Based on the 1990-2012 panel data of Chinese provinces, this paper discusses the relationship between independent innovation, industrial upgrading and employment growth by using the extended C-D function The result shows: independent innovation, industrial upgrading has significant positive impact on china’s employment growth, and the positive effectproducedby independentinnovationisparticularly evident