淮海工学院省内本科生源的时空分布特征及其对招生宣传的启示.docVIP

淮海工学院省内本科生源的时空分布特征及其对招生宣传的启示 刘付程 费鲜芸 周小晓 何志佳 淮海工学院测绘与海洋信息学院 X 关注成功！ 加关注后您将方便地在 我的关注中得到本文献的被引频次变化的通知！ 新浪微博 腾讯微博 人人网 开心网 豆瓣网 网易微博 摘????要： 以淮海工学院2009—2014年生源数据为基础, 采用ArcGIS空间分析技术, 运用最邻近指数分析和核密度估计方法, 对淮工生源的时空分布特征进行了分析。结果表明, 淮工的生源学校呈明显的聚集式分布, 其聚集区域主要位于徐州、连云港及沿江地区。各年份生源数量的总体空间分布格局差异不大, 但其地域分布呈不均衡态势, 徐州、连云港、宿迁及南部沿江县市是生源的热点分布区。根据生源空间分布的密度差异, 将全省划分为3类生源区, 并给出了各生源区的招生宣传建议。 关键词： 生源; 时空分布; 招生宣传; 淮海工学院; 作者简介：刘付程 (1971-) , 男, 安徽安庆人, 淮海工学院测绘与海洋信息学院副教授, 博士, 主要从事遥感与GIS应用方面的研究。 收稿日期：2017-09-28 基金：淮海工学院教育科学研究课题 (GJ2016-23) Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Undergraduates of Jiangsu Province in Huaihai Institute of Technology and Its Enlightenment to Enrollment Propaganda LIU Fucheng FEI Xianyun ZHOU Xiaoxiao HE Zhijia School of Geomatics and Marine Information, Huaihai Institute of Technology; Abstract： Based on the data of provincial enrollments of Huaihai Institute of Technology (HHIT) from 2009 to 2014, the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of enrollments have been analyzed by using the methods of nearest neighbor index and kernel density estimation in ArcGIS spatial analysis toolbox.The results show that the feeder schools of HHIT present significantly clustered distribution and Xuzhou, Lianyungang and the region along the Yangtze River are the main clustering areas.The general spatial distribution patterns of enrollments have little difference between different years, but the geographical distribution of enrollments is uneven in the province, with Xuzhou, Lianyungang, Suqian and the areas along the Yangtze River being hotspots of enrollments.Meanwhile, the whole province has been divided into 3 categories of college enrollment areas based on the spatial differences of density of enrollments and some suggestions for enrollment propaganda are also provided. Keyword： source students; spatial and temporal distribution; enrollment propaganda; Huaihai Institute of Technology; Received： 2017-09-28 一、引言 在人口生育率趋低和生源流失 (如弃考、弃学、留学等) 严重的现实背景下, 我国高考报名人数呈逐