Chapter 5 Discrete Probability 商务统.pptVIP

Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions Example: JSL Appliances Discrete random variable with a finite number of values Graphical Representation of Probability Distribution Expected Value and Variance Expected Value and Variance Expected Value Expected Value and Variance Variance and Standard Deviation Binomial Distribution Four Properties of a Binomial Experiment Binomial Distribution Binomial Distribution Tree Diagram Binomial Distribution Binomial Distribution Poisson Distribution Poisson Probability Function Poisson Distribution Hypergeometric Distribution Hypergeometric Probability Function Hypergeometric Distribution Example: Neveready Bob Neveready has removed two dead batteries from a flashlight and inadvertently mingled them with the two good batteries he intended as replacements. The four batteries look identical. Bob now randomly selects two of the four batteries. What is the probability he selects the two good batteries? Hypergeometric Distribution Using the Hypergeometric Function End of Chapter 5 Poisson Distribution of Arrivals Poisson Distribution MERCY Poisson Probabilities 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Number of Arrivals in 30 Minutes Probability actually, the sequence continues: 11, 12, … Poisson Distribution A property of the Poisson distribution is that the mean and variance are equal. m = s 2 Poisson Distribution MERCY Variance for Number of Arrivals During 30-Minute Periods m = s 2 = 3 Hypergeometric Distribution The hypergeometric distribution is closely related to the binomial distribution. However, for the hypergeometric distribution: the trials are not independent, and the probability of success changes from trial to trial. for 0 x r where: f(x) = probability of x successes in n trials n = number of trials N = number of elements in the population r = number of elements in the population labeled success Hypergeometric Proba