瓦楞纸板和纸箱基本参数对纸箱抗压力的多元回归分析.docVIP

瓦楞纸板和纸箱基本参数对纸箱抗压力的多元回归分析* 周颖红黎敏（1.广东出入境检验检疫局检验检疫技术中心， 广州 510623） （2.广东出入境检验检疫局，广州 510623） （3.湖南出入境检验检疫局，长沙 410004） 摘要 运用SPSS统计软件，对数千批出口瓦楞纸箱检测数据进行回归分析，探讨纸箱抗压力与纸箱长宽高、纸板耐破度、边压强度、戳穿强度、粘合强度等变量的关系。通过回归分析，发现瓦楞纸板粘合强度对抗压力的影响被耐破度涵盖；戳穿强度对纸箱抗压力的影响比边压强度大；瓦楞纸板和纸箱基本参数与纸箱抗压力值符合幂函数关系；纸箱周长与抗压力的幂函数关系比单一的长或宽的关系更显著。确定纸板戳穿强度、边压强度、耐破度、纸箱周长、高为自变量，抗压力为因变量的幂函数模型，通过各变量的对数转换，将幂函数转换成线性函数进行多元线性回归分析，建立了瓦楞纸箱空箱抗压力与上述变量关系的多个回归模型。用多种楞型纸箱对回归模型进行验证，提出了用纸箱内周长、瓦楞纸板戳穿强度、边压强度的公式，该公式比凯里卡特公式预测值、马基公式预测值、沃耳福公式预测值更贴近实测值、更简便。 关键词：瓦楞纸箱 检测 抗压力 回归模型 The Multiple Linear Regression Model on Compression Strength of Corrugated Boxes ZHOU Ying-hong1, Zhong Bang-qi2, Guo Ren-hong1, Li Min1, Meng Chang-sheng3 Guangdong Inspection and Quarantine Technology Centre, Guang zhou, 510623) Guangdong Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau, Guangzhou, 510623) Hunannan Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau, Changsha, 410004) Abstract. Using the multiple linear regression model, we analyzed the test results on thousands batches of corrugated boxes samples to seek the relation between compression strength and a series of affecting variables such as bursting strength, edgewise crush strength Puncture resistance, ply adhesive strength, etc. And based on the non-linear regression model results, we discovered the relation between compression strength and other independent variables is more closed to a power function relation. We made the logarithm transformation on best fitted non-linear regression model to establish the predictive formula for the compression strength. To test how well our formula to predict the compression strength based all other factors, we randomly selected several batches lab tested samples both from Guangdong and Hunan Lab, and compared the real test results to the predicted values of our formula and of the traditional formulas such as Kellicutt, Makee and Wolf formula. We found the predicted values of our model are closer to the real tested value than the predicted values of the other three formulas.