(精选)Predicting the Growth in Dialysis Services in Ontario, Canada 2007-2011教学课件.pptVIP

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(精选)Predicting the Growth in Dialysis Services in Ontario, Canada 2007-2011教学课件.ppt

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Predicting the Growth in Dialysis Services in Ontario, Canada2007-2011;Outline of Presentation;How People with Kidney Failure Present;Treatment Considerations;Treatment of Kidney Failure in Canada;The Cost of Caring for Patients;Limitations of Existing Literature;Objectives;Terminology;Terminology;Terminology;Statistical Analysis;Statistical Analysis;Statistical Analysis;Validity of Results;RESULTS;Initial Form of Dialysis Treatment;The First 90 Days of Dialysis;Status at 90 Days;Impact of Acute Kidney Injury;RESULTS;The number of patients being treated with dialysis at any point in time is very predictable and is growing in a linear fashion Projected to grow to 11,104 patients by 2011 Confidence intervals (10,931-11,277) or +/- 1.6%;Projections of prevalent dialysis patients provided by quarter ;The number of prevalent outpatients being treated with dialysis at any point in time is also very predictable and is growing in a linear fashion Projected to grow to 10,796 patients by 2011 Confidence intervals (10,655 – 10,938) or +/- 1.3%;Majority of prevalent patients are on HD so curve resembles that of “all prevalent patients” and “prevalent outpatients” Projected to grow to 9,157 patients by 2011 (85% prevalent outpatients) Confidence intervals (8,999 – 9,316) or +/- 1.7%;PD growth not as predictable, but still allows confident forecasts Projected to grow to 1,629 patients by 2011 (15% of prevalent outpatients) Confidence intervals (1,532 – 1,726) or +/- 5.6%;Incidence counts are more variable, but demonstrate clear trend Projected to grow to 1,605 patients per quarter by 2011 Confidence intervals (1,415 – 1,795) or +/- 11.8%;Proportion of Prevalent Outpatients Treated with PD vs. HD by Year;Provincial Data – Summary;Accuracy of Projections;Consistency of Projections;LHIN Forecasts;LHIN Forecasts;LHIN Forecasts;LHIN Data – Summary;;Interpretive Cautions;Interpretive Cautions;Other Considerations;Conclusions;Conclusions;Acknowledgements