Modified SIR for Vector-Borne Diseases为媒介传播的疾病修饰先生.pptVIP

Modified SIR for Vector-Borne Diseases Gay Wei En Colin 4i310 Chua Zhi Ming 4i307 Jacob Savos AOS Katherine Kamis AOS Aims and Objectives To create a universal modified SIR model for vector-borne diseases to make predictions of the spread of diseases Rationale The SIR Model currently used is extremely simplistic Only considers three compartments, namely Susceptible, Infected and Recovered Two directions of change, namely from Susceptible to Infected or from Infected to Recovered. Rationale Since most vector-borne diseases do not work in such a way, this project aims to modify this SIR model so that it can encompass much more factors that the original SIR model Death rates Movement from Recovered to Susceptible Make it more applicable to real life, thus increasing its usability in accurately predicting the spread of such vector-borne diseases. Introduction A vector-borne disease is transmitted by a pathogenic microorganism from an infected host to another organism HCI will be creating a model using Dengue Fever AOS will be creating a model using a tick-borne disease Literature Review – Dengue Fever A very old disease that reemerged in the past 20 years Transmitted via mosquito bites In 2009, there were a total of 4452 cases of dengue fever in Singapore, of which there were 8 deaths Literature Review – Aedes Mosquitoes Aedes mosquitoes refers to the entire genus of mosquito – over 700 different species Multiple species able to transmit dengue fever Have characteristic black and white stripe markings on body and legs Aedes albopictus – the most invasive mosquito in the world Retrieved from une.torino.it/ucstampa/2005/aedes-albopictus.jpg Aedes aegypti – Main vector of dengue fever in Singapore Retrieved from http://www.telepinar.icrt.cu/ving/images/stories/aedes-aegypti__785698.jpg Literature Review - Ticks Ticks have a two-year life cycle Ticks acquire a vector-borne disease by feeding on an infected host Once infected, ticks transmit the disease by feeding on