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Data for adaptation decision-making - Group on Earth Observations为适应决策-地球观测组织数据.ppt
Insert presentation title Mark Stafford Smith, Science Director Climate Adaptation Flagship GEOSS/IPCC Workshop, Geneva, 1 Feb 2011 Data for adaptation decision-making Where I’m coming from 2010 Climate Adaptation Futures conference, Australia Lessons from global desertification data needs? Climate Adaptation Futures conference Gold Coast, Australia, Jun-Jul 2010 ~1000 attendees, 30% overseas .au/conference2010/ 24 parallel sessions Climate Adaptation Futures: some lessons Some sessions dealt with data needs Climate services for early warning systems Often about communication of data in the right format Simplified datasets for many users, overload on local government decision-makers, handling uncertainty “reframing information for risk management and away from dependency on climate uncertainty” UKCIP “rapid assessment of climate uncertainty in evaluating [ag] adaptation options” Emphasis on adaptation at multiple levels Also on measuring the effectiveness of adaptation Mostly supporting decisions, not providing data In development, disasters, agriculture, water, cities, health, engineering, business, human security, coasts and small islands, policy, indigenous communities, etc Some implications for adaptation datasets “Most of our current investment is [still] in defining the problem, not in finding the solutions. A decisions and outcomes focus is needed. ” A focus on use means dealing with: Multiple scales – geographic, governance, institutions, industry sectors, etc Multiple levels in all of them – local, provincial, national, supra-national, global Measuring the amount and effectiveness of action “Knowledge that is coproduced is more likely to be used” Parallels in desertification 30 years of debate on desertification Plenty of political aspects though $$ than adaptation Persistent uncertainty even in how much (17-70% of drylands desertified in late 1990s!), leading to policy paralysis, loss of confidence in donors for action, etc Key gulf: Top-do
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