the next wto round on agriculture and eu enlargement：下一轮农业和欧盟扩大精品.pdfVIP

The Next WTO Round on Agriculture and EU Enlargement: Pressures on the EU Dairy Sector E. Huan-Niemi J.E. Niemi Paper prepared for presentation at the Xth EAAE Congress ‘Exploring Diversity in the European Agri -Food System’, Zaragoza (Spain), 28-31 August 2002 Copyright 2002 by E. Huan-Niemi and J.E. Niemi. All rights reserved. Readers may make verbatim copies of this document for non-commercial purposes by any means, provided that this copyright notice appears on all such copies. The Next WTO Round on Agriculture and EU Enlargement: Pressures on the EU Dairy Sector Abstract The EU dairy sector will be one of the most sensitive sectors to be affected by the outcome of the on-going negotiations for the new WTO round for agriculture. Nevertheless, if the Next WTO Round is going to be along the same lines as the Uruguay Round, the EU may be able to stay within the WTO commitments for export subsidy in the dairy sector without further reforms in the Common Agricultural Policy. Certainly, some minor reforms are needed to relieve the binding commitments for cheese and other milk products. The up- coming reform in the dairy sector under Agenda 2000 starting from year 2005 may help in reforming the dairy sector for the new round. In contrast, a steeper reduction in the export subsidy commitments compared to the Uruguay Round may cause problems for cheese and other milk products because the majority of exports in these products will have to be exported without any export subsidy. After enlargement, in particular with a steeper reduction formula, the EU may face troubles in the categories of butter, skim milk powder, cheese, and other milk products. Th