基于脆弱性评估的输电网络扩展规划分析-analysis of transmission network expansion planning based on vulnerability assessment.docx

哈尔滨工业大学工学博士学位论文 Abstract -  PAGE 4 - - III- 全面的待选线路集信息。提出了支路脆弱性风险指标和电网脆弱性风险指标，基 于电网脆弱性风险评估进行不确定性条件下的输电网络扩展规划，建立了以投资 成本和电网脆弱性风险为目标的多阶段输电网络扩展规划模型。 现实的电网扩展规划通常对于资金投入与电网性能均存在一定的优化要求。 为充分体现决策者的主观偏好，使电网经济性与电网脆弱性得到有效的均衡，得 到满意的扩展规划方案，本文提出了基于物理规划的输电网络扩展规划方案评价 方法，考虑电网经济性以及电网脆弱性目标函数，建立物理规划模型。从而反映 决策者的偏好满意度，综合衡量电网扩展规划投资经济代价与电网整体脆弱性的 协调关系。 本文工作得到国家自然科学基金项目（项目编号和国家高新技 术研究发展计划（863 计划）项目（项目编号：2011AA05A105）的资助。 关键词：电力系统；脆弱性评估；输电网络扩展规划；电气剖分；风险指标；方 案评价  Abstract Power grid vulnerability, as the essential attribute of power grid, is important content in power grid performance evaluation. It can help to present valuable constructive information for making a transmission network expansion plan. Transmission network expansion planning is the basic measure to reduce power grid vulnerability, it has important research value. Power grid vulnerability assessment based on electrical dissection information of the electric power network are proposed, then a set of candidate lines are picked up for transmission network expansion plan, the model of the multistage transmission network expansion planning has been built accordingly. The paper framework including power grid vulnerability assessment, transmission network expansion planning, and transmission network expansion scheme evaluation by using genetic algorithm, Monte Carlo simulation, physical programming has been established. Power grid vulnerability assessment combining the topology and operation state of the power grid is practically valuable for forewarnings and protecting critical links. This paper presents a new method for power grid vulnerability assessment based on electrical dissection information of the electric power network. The electrical dissection information of paths between source and flow is calculated based on the topology and operation state of the power grid. The obtained parameters of electrical dissection paths implied the relatively static fixed topology, and also reflected the operation state of the power