基于系统动力学的住宅产业化推进策略分析-analysis of housing industrialization promotion strategy based on system dynamics.docxVIP

AbstractNow China is in the original stage in housing industry, the cost of building housing industry is keeping high when comparing with traditional building method. The new building way is still not forming industry chain, and also has no market needs, which is hard to form economics of scale. What’s more, most of customers couldn’t understand the benefit with this new building method. The lack of housing industry standardization and system leads to the limitation of the development of China housing industry. The housing industry could accelerate the speed and quality of housing construction, which could meet the requirement for quantity and quality of house with the improvement of people’s living level, and develop the society economy. All of these could make the housing consumption become an economic growth point, and encourage the development of related technology and management capability, and improve the productive efficiency and economy. Therefore, it is necessary to research the development strategy of housing industry for the further improvement of China construction industry.The research object is the housing industry, this thesis makes all the factors related housing industry and construction industry, housing market, city economy and population as a whole system. According to model theory and procedure of system dynamics, this thesis establishes the development strategy of housing industry system dynamics model. After analyzing the boundary and hypothesis of system, this thesis draws the related causal relationship diagram, and then ensures all the variables in the system again. At last, the study draws the system flow diagram of the development strategy of housing industry, and establishes the final SD model equation according to the relationship between all the variables. Then the thesis uses the system dynamics software Vensim to simulate the proposals of the development strategy of housing industry. According to the established s