ht分析所财务预警系统分析-analysis of financial early warning system of ht analysis institute.docx

AbstractAlong with China from a planned economy to market economy, from a sellers market to a buyers market, the trend of global economic integration intensifies, informatization tide impact, joins the opportunity that WTO brings and challenge, adumbrative enterprises in access to new markets of opportunity while, also facing bigger risk and uncertainty. If the existent financial risks can not be found in time, effectively avoid and prevent, is bound to cause financial crisis, so that the future development of enterprises in trouble, or even bankruptcy. Therefore, a study of how to guard against and defuse financial risks, how to forecast and warning of financial crisis, has the significant practical significance.Enterprise financial crisis from birth to deterioration, usually experienced a gradual, accumulation, transformation process. In this process, various crisis factors will directly or indirectly through changes of some sensitive financial indicators reflected. Therefore, by setting and study some financial indexes, set up enterprises financial risk and crisis monitoring, prediction and control of the system, namely the financial early warning system. Financial early warning system is a relatively inexpensive diagnostic tool, it is to build a mechanism, make the enterprise to find the potential financial risk, and before the crisis early warning, and urge enterprises to make corresponding measures, prevent further deterioration of the crisis, the guarantee of enterprise financial system and management system in good working condition.This article from the financial risk, financial crisis concept proceed with, elaborated the concept and theory of financial early warning and on domestic and foreign financial early warning model research. Through the analysis of HT Institute at present the financial risk and reason, put forward to build the financial early warning system the necessity and the feasibility, proposed to b