军队汽车运输安全风险评估与控制分析-risk assessment and control analysis of military automobile transportation safety.docx

AbstractWith the social and economic development, the auto possession is increasing to make the road traffic more complicated. The road traffic risk increases constantly. The safety management is more and more difficult. The road traffic becomes a serious threat to the people’s life and property safety. The research on road traffic safety risk is significant to improve the road traffic safety management level.Risk management is one of the three major modern enterprise management activities. It provides the knowledge of system identification and measuring the risk faced by enterprise, and a method to deal with these risks. This paper tries to introduce risk theory into the road traffic safety management, demonstrate the feasibility of risk management in the road traffic safety management by the road traffic accident-causing theory, and put forward the basic theory of the military vehicle transport safety risk management. This paper focuses on the military vehicle transport safety risk assessment and control method. The method has been tested in the instance of the application.Innovation of this paper lies in making an attempt to introduce risk theory to the safety management of military vehicle transport, and the selection the method combined with FAHP and FCE to risk evaluation. Using FCE plays the advantage in the fuzzy mathematics for quantitative evaluation. And using FAHP can make up for the deficiency of FCE in determining weight so as to avoid too much interference with human factors influence. The use of the risk control theory also provides the scientific basis for late decision.Conclusions, Risk theory’s predictability is able to break through the early accident theory, more scientifically understand the vehicle transport accidents-causing. Taking road traffic safety as a whole to carry out risk-control studies can put forward the countermeasures in a more powerful way, so as to reduce and even remove the road-related risk factors from source before the acc