国贸论述题（China World Trade Center Exposition）.docVIP

国贸论述题（China World Trade Center Exposition） Discussion (2*10 score) 1 Analysis of the reasons, influence and Countermeasures of Chinas trade surplus First, the main reason for the balance of payments surplus 1. insufficient effective demand The main reason for the decline of Chinas import growth rate is the lack of effective demand. The main reason for the sharp decline in Chinas import growth rate is the lack of effective demand. On the one hand, the lack of effective demand leads to overcapacity, and reduces the profit margins of enterprises, so that enterprises lack the funds and power to expand reproduction and technological innovation, thereby affecting the import of production means. On the other hand, in order to solve the shortage of effective demand caused by some high-energy industries, such as paper, electrolytic aluminum, etc., in the past two years, the phenomenon of overheating investment. 2. national policy biased exports Since the reform and opening up, in order to solve the contradiction between capital, shortage of foreign exchange and economic development, China has adopted a series of preferential policies to encourage exports, development of coastal export-oriented economy, the export-oriented economy is conducive to the development of policies and measures to implement the system and the environment, making Chinas exports competitive advantage to further play the rapid growth of exports. 3. the input of global excess liquidity It is because of the long-term low interest rate policy in the worlds three largest economy, to create the worlds excess liquidity pushed oil prices and global asset price inflation, but also forced the excess liquidity flowing into Chinas capital market and real estate market, China began to be passively manufacturing excess liquidity. 4. statistical differences of objective existence The reason of statistics is mainly the following five aspects: (1) and Hongkong (2) re price, FOB and CIF difference, (3) the statistical r