参考天津市滨海新区土地利用变化碳排放效应研究.docxVIP

天津市滨海新区土地利用变化碳排放效应研究xxx摘要：土地利用变化引起的碳排放是影响全球温室气体含量的第二大原因。为了分析土地利用变化的碳排放效应，本文以天津市滨海新区为例，利用该区1994年、2000年、2005年、2010年的TM影像和2013年的OLI影像资料，借助目视解译以及GIS空间叠加分析功能，获取了滨海新区近20年的土地利用/覆被变化数据，并基于碳排放测算模型，运用相应数理统计方法，测算并分析了研究区主要土地利用方式的碳排放状况。结果表明：（1）研究期内，滨海新区总陆域面积（含滩涂）总体呈增加趋势，净增560.44km2，主要源于水域和湿地以及建设用地面积的增加；（2）滨海新区碳排放总量持续增加，由216.8925万t增加到422.0914万t，年均增长率和碳排放动态度分别为3.57%和4.73%，增长态势较为显著；（3）建设用地和耕地为主要碳源，水域和湿地以及林地为主要碳汇，但碳源/碳汇比值在69.25至102.63之间，滨海新区碳汇量远远不能抵消其碳源量，二者比例相差悬殊；（4）滨海新区碳排放强度下降态势迅猛，由12.8597t/万元下降到0.5858t/万元，年均降幅高达15.00%。关键词：碳排放；效应；土地利用变化；天津市滨海新区Effects of Carbon Emissions from Land-Use Change in Tianjin Binhai New AreaAbstract: It is the second leading factor of global greenhouse gases for carbon emissions caused by land use change. To analyze the effects of land use change emissions in Tianjin Binhai New Area(TBNA), firstly we got the remote sensing TM images in 1994, 2000, 2005, 2010 and the OLI image in 2013 of TBNA, then based on the visual interpretation and GIS spatial overlay analysis function, as well as carbon emissions calculation model and appropriate mathematical statistics, we got nearly 20 years’ data of land use/cover change in TBNA since it been nominated in development planning, then estimated the 20-year carbon emissions status from major land use in the area and have some analysis on it. The results showed that: (1) during the study period, with a net increase of 560.44km2, the total land area ofTBNA (including the tidal flat ) showed a trend of increase, mainly due to the increased construction land and water and wetlands; (2) The author proposed the index of carbon emission dynamic degree; during the past 20 years, the total carbon emissions continue to increase, from 216.8925 104t till up to 422.0914 104t, with an average annual growth rate of carbon emissions and the dynamic degree of 3.57%and 4.73%, the growth is more significant; (3) construction land and arable land are the main carbon source, while water and wetlands and woodlands are the main carbon sink,