灰色关联度公路运输投资决策支持系统.docVIP

题 目 公路运输业对于国内生产总值的影响分析 关 键 词 _灰色关联度、公路运输投资的决策支持系统 摘 要： 交通运输作为国民经济的载体，沟通生产和消费，在经济发展中扮演着极其重要的 角色。本文基于目前较成熟的经济学灰色关联度，以及运用加权综合法、指数平滑法、节点重要模型、协调性分析、方差分析、相关性检验。 针对问题三 公路运输投资项目优化排序是对规划期内各可行项目通过相互比较，排出投资的先后顺序的过程。公路运输投资项目的排序受多种因素的影响，分析多种影响公路运输投资决策因素。在分析决策模型中，根据上面模型的图像根据各项指标的协调性来决定权重的取值，因为在本文中公路运输投资的重要指标采用该区域的的重要系数，从而决定该区域的的分配值。对于附件三中的相关数据，我们采用指数平滑法并进行相关性检验，利用节点重要模型描述出未来五年的发展趋势，从而计算、分析出未来五年公路运输投资在各市的分配比重。 针对问题四 在公路交通与经济适应性的研究领域,从系统协调性的角度进行研究是非常热门的,关联度研究是系统协调性分析的前提。公路运输对该省发展起着基础性的支撑作用。构建该省区域公路运输与经济发展的指标体系,用灰色关联法分析两者的关联度,为公路运输的发展与经济的适应性及系统协调性研究做支持，进而判断出公路运输对GDP的影响。 参赛队号: #2105  所选题目: C 题 英文摘要（选填） As a carrier of the national economy, transportation, communication, production and consumption in the economic development plays an extremely important The role.More mature economics in this paper, based on the grey correlation degree, and the use of the weighted synthesis method, exponential smoothing method, node model, the important coordination analysis, analysis of variance. In view of the problems of three Road investment project optimization is to various feasible projects during the planning period, through the compare, order of eduction investment process. Road transport is influenced by many factors in the investment projects, analyses various factors affecting road investment decisions. In analysis decision model, according to the above model of image according to the indicators of coordination to determine the weight value, because the highway transportation investment important indicators used in this paper the important factor of the region, to determine the distribution of the value of the region. For three related data in the attachment, we have adopted the exponential smoothing method and relevant inspection, the use of node important model describing the development trend of the next five years, by calculation, analysis of the distribution of the highway transportation investment in various