Ofgem Information Request on availability of NTS Exit Flexibility 监管机构对孤束核出口的灵活性的可用性信息的请求.pptVIP

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Ofgem Information Request on availability of NTS Exit Flexibility 监管机构对孤束核出口的灵活性的可用性信息的请求.ppt

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Ofgem Information Request on availability of NTS Exit Flexibility 监管机构对孤束核出口的灵活性的可用性信息的请求

Ofgem Information Request on availability of NTS Exit Flexibility Capacity Ritchard Hewitt Gas Code Development Manager National Grid Transmission 7th February 2008 Background Development of 0116v – extensive analysis of Flat and Flex products. Analysis in 2006 presented to EOWG in June confirms 22mcm available flexibility. Physically Firm product suitable for DNO demonstration in their Safety Case. Ofgem Information Request received 1st Nov 07 Extensive analysis (175 man days) focussed on Flex Information Request asks eight questions Subsequent slides look at the answers given to each question in turn. Core assumptions Size of Network Based on current 10YS Gas Days - peak, Day 1, and Day 68 Gas Years – 2007/8, 2010/11, and 2016/17 Distribution of Supplies Balanced Varying levels of IOG supplies Heavy East Coast Supplies Delivery Profile Front and backloading Geographic distribution of Demand Balanced Ofgem Question One How much flexibility capacity there will be on the NTS based on National Grid Transmission’s current investment plans? Answer – Depends on the assumptions made. However scenarios currently indicate 22mcm. Ofgem Question Two How this level of flexibility capacity would change if there are any changes in these plans? Answer: Changes to Core assumptions including: Changes in IOG flows in proportion to demand level High East Coast Flows relative to demand level would reduce available flex Ofgem Question Three National Grid Transmission’s assessment of the demand for flexibility capacity from the DNs, storage sites and large Users Answer: GDNs: Flexibility Capacity Request from GDNs – 2007 OCS Process Final Flexibility Capacity Allocation to GDNs – 2007 OCS Process Ofgem Question Three National Grid Transmission’s assessment of the demand for flexibility capacity from the DNs, storage sites and large Users Answer: Other Loads Increasing trend at CCGTs due to increase in offtakes over next 10 years (12GW) and increase in trend of usage. P