Transportation Planningand Travel Demand Forecasting：交通规划与交通需求预测.pptVIP

Transportation Planningand Travel Demand Forecasting Outline Transportation Planning Defined Transportation Planning Organizations Long term plan example Short term plan example Travel Demand Forecasting 4 step process Transportation Planning Transportation planning The process to provide the information needed for decision makers to choose among alternative strategies for improving transportation system performance. Transportation planning is future-oriented Uncertainty in predictions Balance short-term and long-term benefits The problem is not isolated and independent Hierarchical structure Broad impact and involvements Transportation Planning Organizations Transportation Planning Long term (strategic) planning Very complex Based on long-term predictions Involves multiple levels of government, administration, and the public Short to medium term planning Less complex Reduced uncertainty More specific Involves public A Long-Term Transportation Plan PSRC’s long-term plan: Destination 2030 A Long-Term Transportation Plan Destination 2030 is comprehensive: Identifies over 2,200 specific projects that have been designed to result in improved roads, transit, and ferry service. Over 2000 miles of new and improved regional state roadways. More than 2000 miles of new walkways and bikeways to connect communities with transit, shopping, and services. Incentives to better transit service, carpools, etc. A Long-Term Transportation Plan Programs: State Ferry and Highway Programs Local Transit Seattle Monorail Regional Transit Non-motorized Freight Aviation A Short-Term Transportation Plan SR 520 Freeway bottleneck Old and at end of useful life A Short-Term Transportation Plan A Short-Term Transportation Plan Basic Elements Planning Realities Uncertainty in predicting the future Economy, fuel, population growth Analytical limitations Inventory, forecasting, performance measures Influence of politics MPO is an explicitly political forum In a democracy, elected officials sh