甘肃省生产性服务业发展与经济增长关系分析-analysis on the relationship between the development of producer services and economic growth in gansu province.docxVIP

II摘 要伴随着服务经济时代的到来，服务业在国民经济中所占的比重越来越大，它 的发展水平成为了衡量一个国家或地区现代化水平的重要标志。而服务业发展中 最值得注意的是其中生产性服务业的快速发展。在当前西方发达国家中，生产性 服务业已占第三产业的比重 70%以上，成为经济发展过程中一支不容忽视的新生 力量。相比较来说，甘肃省作为西部的农牧大省之一，生产性服务业的发展比不 上沿海发达省份，更是不如发达国家，在经济建设中就会面临一些问题。有鉴于此，本文认为有必要研究一下甘肃省生产性服务业的发展状况。在借 鉴国内外关于生产性服务业相关研究成果的基础上，对生产性服务业的基本概 念、特征、分类和一些相关的理论基础进行了阐述。本文以甘肃省为研究对象， 首先分析研究了甘肃省生产性服务业发展的现状；然后使用平稳性检验、协整检 验和格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学方法，对两者之间的因果关系进行了实证检 验；最后，探讨了生产性服务业发展过程中所存在的问题，就如何能够更好、更 快地促进甘肃省生产性服务业的发展，提出了对策建议。 关键词：生产性服务业发展，经济增长，格兰杰因果检验，甘肃IIIAbstractAlong with the advent of the era of service economy, the proportion of service industry in the national economy is more and more big, its development level has become an important symbol to measure a country or a region modernization level. And the most notable is the rapid development of producer services in the service industry development. In the western developed countries, the producer services industry has accounted for over 70% of the proportion of the tertiary industry, and has become a new force to be reckoned with in the economic development. By comparison, Gansu province is one of the major farming provinces in the west, its producer services development cant compare with the coastal developed provinces, not to mention the developed countries,so it will face some problems in the economic construction.For this reason, this paper argues that it is necessary to study the development of producer services in Gansu province. Based on related producer services research results at home and abroad for reference, we explain the basic concepts, characteristics, classifications of producer services. Taking Gansu province as the research object, this paper introduces present situation of producer services development in Gansu province firstly. Then, this paper uses unit root HYPERLINK /test/ test,co- integration HYPERLINK /test/ test and Granger causality test to analyze the relationships between the two. In the end,summarizing the problems of Gansu producer services development in