世界经济虚拟化与我国经济安全分析-virtualization of world economy and analysis of chinas economic security.docxVIP

acceleratormechanismconsumerspending,businessinvestmentspendingdeclined,leadingtotherealeconomyrecession.Intheeraofglobalization,thecrisisoftheUnitedStatesinfictitiouseconomyandtherecessionofitsrealeconomyinevitablyspreadtoothercountries,triggeringaglobalfinancialcrisisandeconomicrecession.Finally,webuildtheVARmodelandcarryouttheempiricalanalysisoftheimpactontheeconomicsecurityforthecrisis,TheempiricalanalysisfoundapositivestandardizedimpacttoLNEXwillalsobringinthesamedirectionimpacttoLNGDP.AfterashocktoLNEX,LNGDPslowlybegantogrowandreachedthemaximum12%attheperiodsix,thengraduallydecreasedandultimatelytrendtobestable.Throughthevariancedecompositionfound42%’svolatilityofGDParebringaboutbytheexportfluctuations,andtheremainedarebyotherfactors,theimpactthatexportfluctuationsontheGDPisextremelysignificant.Finally,wearefromthreeaspectsoffinancialinstitutions,capitalflowsandcapitalmarketstoanalyzetheimpactoftheinternationalfinancialcrisisonChinasfinancialsecurity.ThechapterVbasedontheanalysisofChapterIVisproposedmeasuresmustbetakenforoureconomicstability,sustainableandhealthydevelopment,andreducetheimpactonoureconomycausedbyexternalshocksandmaintainoureconomicsecurity.It’stosaywemustachievethechangeofexport-ledeconomicgrowthmodetodomesticdemand-ledeconomicgrowthmode,byadjustingtheindustrialstructureinChina,improvethesocialsecuritysystem,reformincomedistributionsystem,toeliminatepolarizationtopromotedomesticconsumption,domesticconsumptionplayadecisiveroleineconomicgrowthandharmoniousdevelopmentofsociety,itisstable,unliketheexternaldemand,vulnerabletotheimpactoftheinternationaleconomicenvironment.Atthesametime,wemustalsograspthefinancialreforminitiativetoeliminateLatinAmericanrisk,standardizethedevelopmentofmediumandsmallfinancialinstitutionstooptimizefinancialstructure,andgraduallyestablishascientificmechanismforfiscalandfinancialriskisolationtoprotectourfinancialsecurity.KEYWORDS：fictitiouscapital;economyvirtualization;financialcrisis;economicsecurity学位论文独创性声明本论文是我个人在导师指导下