x年人民币兑美元汇率波动跟原因分析 解析.pptVIP

 在人民币升值的这段时间里，国内CPI 年均上涨3.1%，人民币呈现对外升值、对内贬值的现象。 2013年12月末，人民币对美元汇率中间价为6.0969，在2005年7月21日汇率形成机制改革前，人民币对美元汇率中间价为 8.2765。截至去年年底，人民币对美元累计升值35.7%。但8年来，国内很多商品的售价都已翻了几倍。据统计，在人民币升值的这段时间里，国内CPI 年均上涨3.1%，人民币呈现对外升值、对内贬值的现象。 人民币外升内贬：国内居民感受是越来越不值钱 。  两因素导致人民币致“外升内贬”。一是我国采取的是有管理浮动的汇率制度，对国际资本流动存在较强的管制。在此背景下，国内存在着流动性过剩带来的通胀预期，使得人民币对内贬值。 二是我国经济增速依然较高，国际贸易一直处于顺差地位，在供给有限、需求上升的情况下，带来了人民币对外升值。 央行调统司司长盛松成日前以其个人名义撰文表示，应该正确认识和对待人民币“外升内贬”现象，这是我国经济发展的阶段性现象。 问题的关键在于继续推进汇率市场化形成机制。只有市场化的汇率形成机制，才能避免人民币在事实上的单向升值，形成可升可降、升降随市的市场化导向，尽力减少人为扭曲和市场不良预期。　　 分析原因 To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. For more than 20 years, Duarte has developed presentations… …to launch products, …align employees, …increase company value, …and propel …global causes. Presentations are a powerful communication medium. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. To view this presentation, first, turn up your volume and second, launch the self-running slide show. They’re there to see you. To be inspired by your message… …and witness the quality of your thought. Any writer or designer will tell you that 90% of the creative process… …is destructive. Allows you to connect eye-to-eye with your audience in a meaningful way. But also change the world. (Well, at least your part of the world.) For more information, go to or email us at fiverules@.  2014年人民币兑美元汇率波动及原因分析 从美国方面分析 2014年美元升值原因  2014年,美国经济当前的复苏态势，且确定有序退出QE，并启动加息，美元2014年必将走强。而欧元区经济不确定未消退，日本继续秉持贬值汇率政策，预计人民币对欧元和日元将升值，但对美元可能贬值1