st Workshop – ESSP BioenergyBioenergy and Earth.pptVIP

Earth System Science Partnership How much bioenergy can be grown in sustainable ways? 1.1. Opportunity cost 1.2. Assessment of land availability 1.3. Assessment of optimality Scenario Development How Vulnerable Bioenergy Systems are to Climate Change? How Climate-Protective are Biofuels? Sustainability Standards for Bioenergy Systems There are several approaches to address this question which are largely complementary: 1.1. Opportunity Cost (an economic approach) or through the establishment of resilient systems and pathways (a system approach). We want to pursue brining together these two lines of work. 1.2. Assessment of Land Availability, eg. marginal or abandon lands. What can we do with those lands and how one can overlay potentials and constraints”; a synthesis product. 1.3. Assessment of Optimality, there are trade-offs and synergies, therefore, there are combinations that work better than others for a given region. 1.1. Opportunity Cost Informs the modellers in the different communities about the approaches and strengths and weaknesses of the different model results. Provides a platform to discuss the methodologies with which the potentials for food and bioenergy?are computed. Allows for room to discuss ways to link the biogeochemistry assessments of the natural scientists with the economic models describing the determinants of land use decisions and the demand for bioenergy and food products. Looks at the trade-offs (opportunity costs in economic terms) that need to be faced when a conversion of land to food or bioenergy production tales place Models and institutions in economic modelling: Agricultural Market Models OECD Development Center IFPRI ??() FAPRI ??() Computable General Equilibrium ??(CGE) Models MIT????? EPPA-Model ??(/globalchange/www/eppa.html) Kiel Institute ??? DART-Model Integrated Assessment Models MNP??? IMAGE-Model? ?(http://www.mnp.nl/en/themasites/image/index.html) Models and institutions in biogeochemical modelling