操作管理--决策工具培训教材.pptVIP

;Learning Objectives;Models, and the Techniques of Scientific Management Can Help Managers To:;Steps to Good Decisions;Advantages of Using Models;Limitations of Models;决策问题Decision Problem ;Decision Problem ;决策论Fundamentals of Decision Theory;状况States of Nature;替代方案;确定环境下的决策;概率性决策Probabilistic decision situation 不同状况的概率性决策States of nature have probabilities of occurrence 选择最大的金钱期望回报Select alternative with largest expected monetary value (EMV) Average return for alternative If decision were repeated many times;不确定环境下的决策;不确定环境下的决策;不确定环境下的决策;最大遗憾值取最小;不确定环境下的决策;EMV;以图解进行决策Graphical display of de