纺织服装业碳排放影响因素及减排潜力研究-企业管理专业论文.docx

万方数据 万方数据 纺织服装业碳排放影响因素及减排潜力研究 摘 要 作为我国重要的民生产业之一，我国纺织服装业的能源消费量在轻工业中 处于第一位，因此分析探讨纺织服装业碳排放的影响因素以及减排潜力对实现行 业的节能减排具有重要意义。 本文首先在估算纺织服装业碳排放量的基础上，分析了纺织服装业碳排放的 特征、分能源消耗与碳排放量的关系以及碳排放和产业 GDP 的关系；其次基于改 良后的 Kaya 公式对我国纺织服装业碳排放影响因素产业规模、能源强度、能源 效率等因素进行了实证分析；然后根据环境学习曲线对我国纺织服装业的碳减排 潜力进行分析。最后在分析的基础上提出碳减排措施。本文主要的结论有：（1） 我国纺织服装业的碳排放是逐年增加的，纺织业的碳排放较于纺织服装、鞋、帽 制造业占有较大的比例，我国纺织服装业具有节能减排的需求；（2）在对碳排 放的贡献中，煤炭与电力所占比重较大，天然气所占比重较少；（3）纺织服装 业碳排放与产业 GDP 存在弱脱钩关系；（4）对碳排放影响因素分析时得出产业 GDP 是碳排放增加的主要原因，单位 GDP 能源消耗的提高和能源结构碳强度提高 减少碳排放；（5）对减排潜力进行分析时表明每万吨能源消耗量带来的增加值 每增长 1 亿元时，我国纺织服装业的碳排放量降低 3066 吨，通过提高能源利用 效率具有减少碳排放的潜力。 关键词：纺织服装业；碳排放；碳减排；脱钩分析；Kaya 公式；环境学习 曲线 I RESEARCH ON THE CARBON EMISSIONS FACTOR DECOMPOSITION AND REDUCTION POTENTIAL OF TEXTILE AND APPAREL INDUSTRY Abstract As one of the most important industries in China, the energy consumption of Chinas textile and apparel industry is in the first place, so it is important to analyze the influence factors and the potential of carbon emissions in the industry. Firstly, based on the estimation of carbon emissions, this paper analyzes the characteristics of carbon emissions, energy consumption and carbon emissions, and the relationship between carbon emissions and industrial GDP. Secondly, based on the modified Kaya formula, the paper analyzes the factors such as industrial scale, energy intensity, energy efficiency and so on. Finally, on the basis of the analysis of carbon emission reduction measures. The main conclusions of this paper are:(1)The carbon emissions in Chinas textile and garment industry has been increasing year by year. carbon emissions in the textile industry occupies a large proportion, Chinas textile and garment industry has the demand for energy-saving emission reduction; (2) In the contribution to carbon emissions, the proportion of coal and electricity are the larger, the natural gas is less; (3) Carbon emissions of textile and apparel industry and industry GDP have weak decoupling relationship;(4) GDP is the main reason