电力系统安全风险评估与脆弱性分析-电气工程专业论文.docxVIP

II II 综合考虑四级指标数量及其安全风险评估得分，提出了电力系统脆弱性分析的一种新 方法。并以我国某省网为试点进行了电力系统脆弱性分析。 在论文的最后，对全文进行了回顾和总结，分析了本文的不足，并展望了下一步 的研究工作方向。 关键词：电力系统 安全风险评估 脆弱性分析 层次分析法 模糊层次分析法 遗传算法 一致性优化 PAGE PAGE IV ABSTRACT The security of electrical power system concerns the security of a nation, the stability of a society and peoples daily life. With the development of the society, the electrical power system becomes much more huge and complex. Applications of new technology in electrical network also bring more uncertainties into power systems stability. With the fact that large area blackouts happened worldwide frequently in recent years, people have come to realize that traditional security risk assessment methods based on electrical network stability analysis is not adequate to guarantee the security and stability of electrical power system. Thus, with regard to the characteristics of Chinas power system, establishing new methods of objectivity, practicality and adaptability of security risk assessment, and on this basis, developing vulnerability research of power system are of great importance practically and theoretically. Firstly, recent research and main problems acquainted in the subject focused in this paper are summarized. On this basis, a new method of power system risk assessment and vulnerability analysis is proposed in perspective of application in engineering. By analyzing blackouts, this paper concluded the causes of outages into four main factors as power system structure, power network technology, electrical equipment and management in power system, using Fault Tree Analysis. A Four-class index system of power system risk assessment and vulnerability analysis is established, which is the basis of following work. The structure of the index system is illustrated in this paper. Allocation of index weight is the key problem in the power system risk assessment and vulnerability analysis. Because of the complexity of electrical power system, a lot of qualitative indices are included in