一、新兴产业的定义和技术创新.docVIP

PAGE \* Arabic 1 / NUMPAGES \* Arabic 16 新兴产业与我国工业的赶超契机 作者信息：李玮（1984－），男，河北衡水人，中国社会科学院研究生院博士研究生，专业为产业经济学，研究方向为产业发展，通讯地址：北京市丰台区芳古园一区32号楼202室，邮编：100078 摘要：作为发展中的制造业大国，我国要想顺利完成工业强国的战略目标，不但要继续在传统的产业领域加强对外的技术吸收和学习，更应当重视新兴产业领域蕴藏的赶超契机。本文在重新界定新兴产业概念的基础上，通过对既有产业领域的市场发展空间，技术学习空间、创新能力积累空间和国际分工地位提升空间4个维度的考察，认为既有技术轨道上的“跟随性”学习策略很难为我国的工业赶超创造出真正的“蛙跳”机会；相反，伴随新兴产业兴起而浮现出的“机会窗口”则更有可能成为我国工业快速赶超的战略契机。基于此，本文通过对新兴产业进入门槛的分析，论证了我国发展新兴产业的切实可行性，以及存在的“后进者优势”。在此基础上，通过分析新兴产业发展对于我国社会技术架构优化，以及产业系统核心技术能力打造方面的积极影响，进一步论证了发展新兴产业对于我国实现工业强国战略的现实意义。最后，就我国推动新兴产业发展的策略提出了几点政策建议。 关键词：新兴产业；技术范式变革；机会窗口；核心能力构建 Emerging industries: an important opportunity for the “leapfrog” of China industry Liwei (Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China ) Abstract: The strategy of industry-powered economy for China in its essence means an overtaking of the developed countries in a variety of technological fronts. As a developing country, to reach this goal, China should not only continue to speed up efforts to assimilate and study foreign advanced technologies in the field of traditional industries, but also seize the chances to overtake other countries which are hidden in the emerging industries. In view of that, this paper, after analyzing the industry areas from the perspective of market growth space, technology learning space, room for innovation ability accumulation and room for the enhancement of international division position on the basis of re-defining the concept of emerging industry, reaches the conclusion that, China industry can hardly gain a real “leap-frog” if it persists on the existing technological trajectories by adopting the strategy of “path-following catch-up”. Meantime, this paper argues for the feasibility for China to develop emerging industries and its “latecomer advantage” through analyzing the entrance threshold of emerging industries, from which the paper further explicates the importance of nurturing and development of emerging industries to the optimization of