升级版BP神经网络算法在电力企业财务风险预测中的模型与应用[外文翻译].doc

最新精品文档，知识共享！ 本科毕业论文（设计） 外 文 翻 译 原文： The Model and Application of the Financial Risk Forecast in Electric Power Enterprises Based on Improved BP Neural Network Algorithm Abstract: For the particularity of electric power enterprises themselves, the commonly methods used to forecast their financial risk is limited and inadequate. To forecast the financial risk of the power enterprises scientifically and accurately, this paper proposes the improved BP neural network imports the adjustable activation function and Levenberg-Marquardt optimization algorithm. The improved model not only simulate the expert in forecasting the financial risk and avoiding the subjective mistakes in the evaluation process, but also enhance the learning accuracy and the algorithm convergence speed greatly. The financial risk forecast of 12 power enterprises in National Power Company shows that the improved model is stable and reliable, and this method to forecast the financial risk of the power enterprises is feasible. Ⅰ.Introduction Financial risk is influenced by many factors, and it makes the desired financial benefits of electric power enterprises can not achieve successfully and results in the losses accordingly. Financial risk exists in all aspects of financial management objectively, it exists, no doubt, will have a significant impact on the production and operation of power enterprises. At present, the power system is implementing the unprecedented reform. In the running process of the new mechanism, traditional financial management will be challenged and impacted, and the enterprises will face more financial risks. Financial risks arose from the problems that existed in the management, and which is possessed of a significant proportion in all the risks the enterprises accounted for. It may bring greater losses because of its existed, so the measurement of financial risk has become an important subject that the power enterprises faced. Financial risk evaluation is a systematic evalu