聊城市耕地生产潜力及人口承载力研究.PDFVIP

中国农学通报 2011,27(26):245-248 Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 聊城市耕地生产潜力及人口承载力研究 李如雪，王振健 （聊城大学环境与规划学院，山东聊城252059 ） 摘 要：为了弄清聊城市耕地生产潜力，进一步提高耕地产出率，笔者运用潜力递减法计算聊城市耕地生 产潜力，通过分析未来聊城市耕地面积、粮经比和主要作物播种面积，探讨聊城市耕地资源人口承载力 2 2 问题。研究结果表明：聊城市小麦生产潜力为6911.37 kg/hm 、玉米为15445.88 kg/hm ；人口承载力在温 饱型、小康型、富裕型水平上分别为938.25 万人、750.6 万人和625.5 万人，这表明在富裕型水平上将出现 超载。为此，笔者提出了提高聊城市耕地资源人口承载力的途径。 关键词：耕地生产潜力；人口承载力；潜力递减法；聊城市 中图分类号：F323.211 文献标志码：A 论文编号：2011-0570 TheStudyontheProductionPotentialandthePopulationSupportingCapacity ofCultivatedLandinLiaochengCity LiRuxue,WangZhenjian (School of Environment and Planning, Liaocheng University,LiaochengShandong252059) Abstract: InordertounderstandtheproductivelatentcapacityofcultivatedlandresourceinLiaochengCity, tofurtherenhancethelandproductivity,productivelatentcapacityofcultivatedlandresourceinLiaocheng Cityhadbeencalculatedaccordingtothemethodofpotentialdegression.Byanalyzingthecultivatedlandarea, theratiosofthegraintoeconomiccropsandmaincropsownareainfuture,theauthorinvestigatedthe population supporting capacity of cultivated land in Liaocheng City. The results showed that the wheat 2 2 productivepotentialwas 6911.37 kg/hm inLiaochengCity,thecornwas 15445.88 kg/hm.Thepopulation supportingcapacityinthewell-fedtype,well-offtypeandwealthylevelrespectivelywas938.25tenthousand, 750.6tenthousandand625.5tenthousand.Thisindicatedthatthelevelofthewell-offwouldbeoverloaded. Therefore,theauthorproposedthewaythatwouldenhancethepopulationsupportingcapacityofcultivated landinLiaochen