城市轨道交通客流需求分析模型及计算机仿真 - 计算机工程与应用.pdfVIP

Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 2012 ，48 （18） 17 城市轨道交通客流需求分析模型及计算机仿真 周高卫，罗 霞 ZHOU Gaowei, LUO Xia 西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院，成都 610031 School of Transportation Logistic, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China ZHOU Gaowei, LUO Xia. Passenger demand analysis model of urban rail transit and computer simulation. Computer Engineering and Applications, 2012, 48 （18）：17-22. Abstract ：In order to solve the defects in traditional “four-step”methods of transportation demand analysis, such as remarkable centralization characteristic, low accommodation to the system condition and difficult to entity simula- tion, an effective approach for urban rail transit passenger flow analysis is proposed which is based on the urban comprehensive public transit overall plan and TransCAD simulation. This method is based on the basic step of “four-stage”methods. In the first step, considering the trip intensity and space distribution characteristic of different kinds of people, a new generation and attraction model is established based on population classification and trip mo- tive. In the distribution step, this paper modifies the gravity distribution model through introducing the K-gene and the integrated process cost. In the last step, an assignment model of the urban rail transit passenger flow is built through combining reasonable system structure boundary and trip time value. Experimental results show that the new method can improve the passenger flow analysis precision and robustness, which considers urban transporta- tion system structure, trip generalized cost and population classification. Key words ：urban rail transit; demand analysis; traffic distribution; mode split; traffic assignment; TransCAD simulation 摘 要：针对传统“四阶段法”交通需求分析集聚特征显著、系统环境适应性差等问题以及城市交通系统很难 进行实体仿真的缺陷，提出了一种基于城市综合公交统筹和TransCAD 仿真的城市轨道交通客流分析模型。 该模型基于“四阶段法”基本步骤，在第一阶段中，考虑了不同人口类别的出行强度和空间分布特征，