侯马北站安全管理水平评价研究-交通运输工程专业论文.docxVIP

中文摘要近年来安全评价在我国各行各业得到广泛的推广应用，运用安全评价可克服 中文摘要 近年来安全评价在我国各行各业得到广泛的推广应用，运用安全评价可克服 传统的安全管理的缺陷，能预先评估出事故发生的可能，采取一系列切实可行的 措施，使事故发生的可能性降到最低限度，以期达到预防各种事故的目的。 铁路车务站段的安全管理还是以定性评价为主，缺乏客观性和指导性，而且 “预防为主”的效果不明显。因此，铁路车务站段在安全管理中采用安全评价方 法更为重要。本文参考国内外安全评价的先进理论，尝试将模糊综合评价方法引 入铁路车务站段的安全管理评价当中，提出了一种新的铁路车务站段安全管理评 价思路。 根据铁路运输安全管理工作经验并综合现场专家意见，建立了铁路车务站段 安全管理评价指标体系，采用层次分析法确定了各层次因素的权重值。同时，应 用模糊综合理论，建立递阶层次结构，构造判断矩阵，选择乘与有界和算子M(o，o) 进行运算得到评价结果。 本文选用侯马北站2007年4季度的安全管理现状作为实例，根据现场检查结 果编制了简便、易行的安全检查表，进而构造了单因素评价矩阵，应用构建的多 级模糊综合模型计算得到了侯马北站安全管理水平的评价结果，并对该方法进行 了探讨，对评价结果进行了实际分析。 关键词：安全管理；安全评价；铁路车务站段；模糊综合评价；层次分析法 分类号：U285．49；U294．1 ABSTRACTRecently,safety ABSTRACT Recently,safety assessment is widely applied in various kinds of fields．It is used to improve traditional safety management shortcoming．Safety assessment could help to assess and control the accident possibilities，to make advisable measures，and to prevent accidents． The qualitative assessment is still the main method in assessing the safety management level of railway transportation department,which is lack of objectivity and significance，and has 110 obvious effect on preventing accidents．Obviously,the method of safety assessment is a very important choice in safety management of railway transportation department．On basis of domestic and international advanced theories about safety assessment，this paper tries to introduce fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method in safety management of railway transportation department，and presents a new method to assess it． Based on safety management experience in the railway transportation and expert opinion，this paper has established assessment index system about railway transportation department．This paper utilizes the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)to determine the weight of each level factor．Then according to fuzzy comprehensive tlleo吼this paper construct stratum structure and assessment matrix，and select肘(．，o) algorithm to get assessment result Safety management situation of HOUMA depot in April，2007 is applied