决策科学跟管理资料.docVIP

Decision Sciences and Management PAGE 1 PAGE 1 Chang Hsimo Autumn-Winter 2005-2006 決策科學與管理 國立中山大學社會科學院政治學研究所碩士班 授課教師：張錫模 中山大學社科院中山所副 俄羅斯聯邦莫斯科大學政治學博士 gertsen@.tw 07-5252000#5519 高雄?臺灣 Please Write the Following Interests (whether in decision sciences or elsewhere). What course you have taken to this point that may pertain to decision sciences (level and course)? Why did you take this course? Your phone number and e-mail as well (get e-mail, it’s free). Course Description Strategic decisions can be characterized by the extent to which they have enduring effects, are broad in scope and are difficult to reverse. Such decisions can be taken with little forethought but in most organizations are facilitated by a strategic planning process. The purpose of this course is to introduce and explore the range of models and analytical techniques that are available to support the strategic planning process, decision-making and the management of decision implementation. The course starts with a model of the strategic planning process itself that identifies the essential elements of a strategic planning process and is then uses as an organizing framework for the models and analytical techniques. The topics covered by the lectures include strategic thinking, pro-active strategic decision-making process, SWOT analysis, net assessment, game theory, dynamic planning, scenario development, risk analysis, and crisis management. Every course-attendant would be required to take part in gaming and scenario writing. 目錄 緒言：教師對學生的期許與要求 10 第一章 導論 11 第一節 決策與哲學 11 第二節、思考力決勝的時代 16 第三節 決策科學的基本架構 20 附論：決策科學的學問史 21 第二章 問題分析術 26 第一節、決策陷阱與決策分析的程序