京津冀区域旅游业的系统动力学研究-旅游管理专业论文.docxVIP

燕山大学管理学硕士学位论文Abstract 燕山大学管理学硕士学位论文 Abstract The main purpose of this text research starlds on the developmem and perfection of district tourism theories and the practice system．In term of the system dynamics，and combine the economics and statistics to learn the knowledge of the related course，attend to analyze the development model for the regional tourism of Beijing Tianjin Hebei region in the future，and diagnosticate the issues that could he exist in the future fifty years．Then,show the countermeasure accord to the issues’characteristic，which combine together the research method of comparatively analysis，qualitative analysis， quantitative analysis，normative analysis and simulative validation． Firstl弘this text鼠lms up the results of the domestm and international research which relevant the regional tourism and the rcgmnal tourism system． Also，the recapitulation analyzes the regional economic，statistics，systems engineering profundity which related with this research．And made these theorists melt go into the textual research system． Secondly，according to the condition and present conditions of regional tourism development in Beijing Tianjin Hehei,the research got that there are arious advantages in this regional,such勰area,resources and source eto．In the meanwhile，the development faced many issues，which exhibit sharply during the deveMpmem．These issues should be solved by the systemically 、，iews and method． Thirdly，from the system dynamics principle aspect，build up rising the mathematics model that the regional tourism development of Peking- Tlanjin-Hehei．And Use the Simulink of MATLAB sets llp the homologous calculator to imitate the true model，getting the emulatmn resuR that regional tourism deveMpment ofPeking-Tlanjin-Hehei,which got the imitate the result to delineated in 50 years offuture ofdevelopment condition． Ⅱ AbstractFinally，through Abstract Finally，through the analysis to imitate puts forward the counterplan from the tour income，travel to supply，the tou