基于合作博弈的预付条件下应急物资库存模型的构建-管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘 摘 要 I I 摘 要 突发性自然灾害与公共卫生事件的发生，不仅造成了巨大的经济损失，给人 们的生产、生活也形成了较为严重的负面影响，同时也对人类的生存与发展提出 了挑战。20 世纪以后，社会各界对于突发性自然灾害与公共卫生事件的关注程 度逐渐提高，针对于防范与处理突发情况应急物流的研究也逐渐深入。应急物流 是一种主要研究如何及时、有效地向受灾地区供给应急物资的特殊物流活动。应 急物资储备是应急物流管理的核心工作之一。当突发性自然灾害与公共卫生事件 发生后，充足的救援应急物资不仅可以大大减小受灾损失，同时更是受灾群众生 活乃至生命的保障。 在传统的应急物资储备模式中，政府担负着采购、组织、储备等多项职能。 由于物资储备管理工作的专业性等因素，政府储备应急物资，不仅耗费大量人力、 物力，且由于应急物资具有有效期等缘故，报废损失较大。本文旨在构建政府与 供应商合作进行应急物资实物储备的库存模型。通过建立合理的合作机制，使得 政府与供应商合作，利用供应商库存管理的优势储备应急物资，从而构建优化的 应急物资库存模型，实现在降低储备的总体成本的前提下，改进应急物资的储备 效果。 在学习与借鉴应急物资储备研究成果的基础上，本文考虑政府与供应商合作 进行应急物资的实物储备，讨论政府提前支付部分货款，供应商储备应急物资的 库存模型，并从合作博弈的角度，确立了联盟的合作期限与政府提前支付货款比 例，实现了在减少政府支出的前提下，动态存储定量应急物资，大幅度延长有效 期的目标。最后使用算例验证了该模型的有效性。 关键词：应急物资 库存模型 合作博弈 提前支付 合作期限 Abstract Abstract PAGE PAGE IV Abstract Sudden natural disasters and public health incidents not only cause huge economic losses, but also cause serious negative effects on peoples production and life. More serious is that it poses a challenge to human survival and development. Since the 20th century, sudden natural disasters and public health incidents have become one of the focuses in all sectors of the society. Researches on emergency management for preventing and dealing with the unexpected situation are becoming more and more intensive. Emergency logistics is a special logistics activity which mainly studies on how to supply the disaster area with emergency material timely and effectively. Emergency material reserve is one of the core works of emergency logistics management. After sudden natural disasters and public health incidents happened, sufficient emergency material can not only greatly reduce losses but also be a guarantee of victims’ life. In the past, the government took many responsibilities for emergency material such as purchase, organization and store. Because emergency material management is a professional work, it would not only consume lots of manpower and material resources but also may lead to great scrapped loss due to the expiration date of emergency material. T