基于概率不安全指标的电力市场安全性定价-电力系统及其自动化专业论文.docxVIP

中文摘要电力系统在运行过程中不断受到各种扰动的影响，不同扰动发生的概率及其 中文摘要 电力系统在运行过程中不断受到各种扰动的影响，不同扰动发生的概率及其 对系统不安全性的贡献各不相同。在电力市场环境下，各参与者分散决策，其根 本目的是获取自身利益最大，这种决策在获取经济利益的同时，可能导致系统的 安全裕度降低。为此，系统调度(ISO)必须多次再调度发电机出力，以确保系 统安全稳定运行，而达到同一安全水平可能有多种再调度方案。 为解决上述问题，给出了一种建立在动态概率不安全指标基础上的安全性定 价模型，将电力系统的安全性同电力市场的经济性作为整体综合考虑，ISO通过 发布安全电价给出下一时段系统的安全状况信息，各市场参与者根据此信息调整 自己的决策，从而在保证系统安全运行的同时，达到系统社会最优。 模型以系统安全损失费用对节点功率注入向量的偏导数作为安全电价。 为解决上述模型中涉及的用户停电损失费计算问题，首先研究了各类电力用 户停电损失特点，在此基础上，给出了一种在缺乏大量停电损失统计资料的情况 下估算用户停电损失函数的方法。并用该方法估算了天津市工业和商业电力用户 停电损失函数。 通过IEEE 4机11节点系统算例分析初步表明，给出的基于概率不安全指标 的电力市场安全性定价模型是合理可行的。 关键词：电力市场；动态安全域；概率不安全指标；安全电价；停电损失 ABSTRACTThere ABSTRACT There are many disturbances affecting power systems．The probability and their contribution of different disturbances to the insecurity level of power systems are different．In the environment ofpower markets，each participant participates in market by decentralized decision-making，with the essential aim to maximize their benefits， and this decentralized decision-making may decline the system security level．To resolve these problems，system dispatchers，or the ISOs，must redispatch generation outputs to maintain system security,and to reach the same security level there may have different redispatch schemes． To solve the above problems，a security p—cing model in the environments of power markets based on dynamic probability insecurity index is presented，which takes into account power system security and power market economy嬲a whole．ISO release system security information of the next time sector,based on which market participants a肖ust their decision-making，thus both system security and the socially optimal solution are assured． The partial derivatives of the costs of system security loss to node power injections are regarded as security prices in the model． To compute consumer power outage COSts used in the model，the characteristics of consumer outage costs for various kinds of consumers arc investigated,and a method to estimate consumer outage COSt under conditions when