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基于 EKC 的山东省区域经济增长与大气环境 问题研究
1,2 1 1
解伏菊 张红 郑明喜
(1. 济南大学 济南 250002 ;2. 山东大学 济南 250100 )
E-mail: xfjshsj@163.com
摘要摘要::选取1981-2008 年山东省经济发展主要指标和环境污染物排放的统计数据,构建
摘要摘要::
了经济强度和环境污染强度指标,运用环境库兹涅茨曲线的理论模型对山东省环境进行了实
证研究。结果表明:二氧化硫和烟尘排放强度均较符合倒 U 型环境库兹涅茨曲线,污染排
放强度下降的转折点分别为单位面积GDP 315.33 和94.00 元,发生的年代均为1996 年。进
一步的分析表明,产业结构优化、技术进步、政策环境保障以及环保投资力度的加大是大气
环境改善的重要原因。
关键词关键词::环境库兹涅茨曲线,经济增长,环境污染
关键词关键词::
Study on the Relationship of Economic Growth and Atmospheric Environmental Problems Based
on EKC model in Shandong Province
1,2 1 1
XIE Fu-ju ZHANG H ZHENG Ming-xi
(1. University of Jinan Jinan 250002;2. Shandong University Jinan 250100 )
Abstract: The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis in Shandong Province was
verified using the statistical data of economic growth and environmental pollution indicators. It
was found that relation of SO2 , soot emission intensity and economic intensity accorded with the
EKC hypothesis, the turning points were at 315.33 Yuan and 94.00 Yuan unit area respectively,
and the turning time were in 1996 and 1991-1996 respectively. Further analysis showed that EKC
in Shandong province is the results of synergistic action of a variety of favorable factors, such as
advantageous policy environment, economic structure optimization, technology progress and
reliability of environment protection
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