中国人口普查设想.ppt

Briefing on Census Data Evaluation in China Xiao Ning Guo Hui Hanoi, Viet Nam 2-6 December 2013 History of Population Census in China First Census: 1953 Population: 594.53 million Second Census: 1964 Population: 694.58 million Third Census: 1982 Population: 1008.18 million Fourth Census: 1990 Population: 1133.68 million Fifth Census: 2000 Population: 1265.83 million Sixth Census: 2010 Population: 1339.72 million Combination of long form (10%) and short form (90%) Short form：6 household items, 12 individual items Long form: 19 household items, 28 individual items 2010 Census: questionnaire 2010 Census: Schedule Preparation (Oct. 2007-Oct. 2010) Field enumeration (1-10 Nov. 2010) Field check (11-20 Nov. 2010) Post enumeration survey (Nov.-Dec. 2010) Data processing (Dec. 2010-Dec. 2011) Data dissemination and utilization (Apr. 2011 --- 2013) Objectives of Data Evaluation To measure the accuracy of census data To get the net undercount rate To adjust census results (such as to estimate total population) Methods Post-Enumeration Survey Demographic methods Compare with related administrative records Post-Enumeration Survey (1) National level: Responsible for the survey in one selected enumerator of each province Two levels organization Provincial level： Responsible for the survey in the rest of selected enumerators of the province Post-Enumeration Survey (2) Reference time: zero hour on November 26, 2010 about one month after census Respondents: people who lived in the enumerators at the reference time Samples: a total of 120 thousand people were selected from 402 enumerators in 398 counties, the sampling fraction for the nation was 0.1 per thousand Post-Enumeration Survey (3) 3 household items: number of persons births deaths 6 individual items: name gender date of birth place