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Hong Kong Journal of Emergency Medicine
Contributory factors to critically wrong road-crossing j udgements among
older people: an integrated research study
BPY Loo and KL Tsui
Introduction: Older people are having higher risk of vehicle-pedestrian collisions. This study examines the relative
importance of different environmental, physical and cognitive factors in contributing to critically wrong road-
crossing judgements. Methods: An integrated research design is adopted. Older pedestrians were recruited through
Elderly Community Centres in Hong Kong. Data about their physical and cognitive ability were collected through
setting up outreach laboratories within the participants neighbourhood communities. In addition to obtaining
two walking speeds, three clinical tests (the visual acuity test, Timed Up and Go test and Mini Mental State
Examination [MMSE] test) were conducted. A questionnaire survey collected personal information and activity
data. Eighteen different road-crossing scenarios showing the same dual-lane one-way local road with different
traffic conditions (a vehicle approaching at different distances, at different speeds, and on different lanes) were
captured in videos and presented to the participants. Their decision time and judgement for each scenario were
recorded in a computer. Apart from descriptive statistics, a binary logistic generalised estimating equation model
was estimated. The dependent variable is whether a road-crossing j udgement was critically wrong or not.
Results and Conclusions: A total of 7,182 road-crossing judgements of 399 older people were collected. The most
statistically significant factors contributing to critically wrong road-crossing judgements are the road environment
variables of the speed and distance of the oncoming vehicle. On physical variables, walking speed is the most
important factor. Lastly, the
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