基于碳夹点分析的云南省能源消费结构优化研究-管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

Ab Abstract PAGE PAGE III Abstract In recent years , the international community has become increasingly concerned about the problem of global climate change , research on climate change is gradually becoming popular in the world together . The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) gives a report indicating that the main reason for the extraordinary global climate change is the world s growing greenhouse gases ( carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides , sulfur compounds , such as methane ) emissions volume, which play a major role in the impact of climate change is carbon dioxide emissions . Since entering the 21st century, with Chinas accession to the WTO, continues to promote industrialization , urbanization, marketization and economic globalization process which occurs over energy demand growth . The international community is facing political pressure to reduce carbon emissions , energy conservation in order to become an urgent matter of national economic development . 2009 on the eve of the Copenhagen climate summit, the Chinese government proposed to control greenhouse gas emissions targets , namely to win in 2020 , so that the carbon intensity of GDP by 40%-45 % compared to 2005 . As a low-carbon pilot provinces of Yunnan , one of the high speed necessary to meet its own economic growth , but also to achieve the emission reduction targets under the country s energy needs. Therefore , choosing the right model to optimize the energy consumption structure in Yunnan optimize seemed imminent. This paper begins with the theoretical analysis , this paper introduces the theory of structural optimization of energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions , and add some analysis focuses on technology in resource and energy conservation problems. Secondly, through the years of 1981-2012 data Yunnan GDP energy consumption and processing, to establish a relationship model between GDP and energy consumption, and Yunnan Province in 2020 and forecast ene