抗旱决策支持系统-管理科学与工程专业毕业论文.docxVIP

抗旱决策支持系统 抗旱决策支持系统 摘 要 (论文课题来自于滁州市抗旱决策支持系统开发的实际，以滁十II市为研究的 ——、q 背景资料．利用系统分析的方法和计算机技术开发抗旱决策支持系统。所开发 的系统适合于安徽省这样旱灾频繁发生的地区，其特征是位于暖温带与亚热带 的过渡带的平原和丘陵。系统开发的目标是提高抗旱决策的科学性和时效性， 、／ 达到进一步减少旱灾损失的目的。y 论文主要研究的内容有：滁州市农业、水利、气象等状况的分析；原有农 业、水利系统的分析及改进措施的提出；决策中有关模型的设计及具体化i计 算机系统的总体设计。该系统具有旱情预测、评估、减灾措施效益评估、预案J-●_●●-__‘～ 生成以及查询与报表打印等功能，以期成为抗旱减灾决策科学有效的辅助工具。 该抗旱决策支持系统适用于安徽省的江淮丘陵地区，并可推广应用到其他自然 条件相似的地区。 关键词：决策支持系统抗旱革藉金鱼赣案 Drought—Resistant Drought—Resistant Decision Suppolrt System Abstract nle subject of this paper is a practical drought-resistant decision support system of Chuzhou city．Given Chuzhou as the background，make use of syrstem analysis method and computer technique to develop the drought-resistant decision support system．nle system is appropriate for a province like Anhui．which lies in the plain and low hill area of transition strip between wann temperate zone and subtropics zone，and where often occur drought disasters．The goal ofthe system is to improve the drought-resistant decision making more timely and scientifically,to achieve the alm ofreducing the loss ofdrought disaster． m main research content of this Paper include：analysis status of agriculture， water conservancy and weather of Chuzhon city；analysis about agriculture and water conservancy of the old systern and putting forward measures for improvement； research a series of models for drought-resistant and put forward an appm甜ale model for Chuzhou city：and the overall design of computer system．．nle system can forecast and appraise drought status，evaluate the benefit of drought-resistant， generation of preparedness and other functions such as query and pIint．It provides an effectire assistant tool for drought-resistant and disaster mitigation．The drought-resistant decision support system adapt to the practical situation ofjianghuai lOW hill area of transition s仃．p of Anlmi Province，and Call he extended to other places where natural condition like Anhui． Key words：decision support system，drought-resistant，drought stat