梅雨锋暴雨中尺度系统的模式试验和分析-气象学专业毕业论文.docxVIP

梅雨锋暴雨中尺度系统的模式试验和分析墒矍 梅雨锋暴雨中尺度系统的模式试验和分析 墒矍 中尺度系统是梅雨锋暴雨发生发展的直接影响系统。中尺度系统本身的地 域性和突发性及其与各和尺度系统之间的复杂联系，决定了寻求其发生发展原 因和影响暴雨发生发展规律的困难。本文利用PSU／NCAR的中尺度非静力数值 预报模式MM5，采用高分辨率套网格方案和适当的物理过程，对2002年7月 22日08时到23日08时的一次强梅雨暴雨过程和伴随的中一0尺度系统进行了 数值模拟，结果很好地描述了本次暴雨降水的时空分布及相伴随的中一0尺度系 统的发生发展过程。试验结果表明，梅雨锋带内的动力、热力场具有明显的中 尺度结构特征，梅雨降水是由梅雨锋带内的一连串中尺度对流系统造成的，中 尺度对流系统对应的动力场、热力场均呈明显的中尺度结构，中尺度对流系统 发生发展过程中，其伴随的动力、热力场结构均会作相应的调整，这些物理量 场的调整和变化又制约了中尺度对流系统的发展变化。 关键词：梅雨暴雨数值试验中．B尺度系统发展条件 THE THE MODEL EXPERIMENT AND ANALYSlS OF THE MESO．SCALE SYSTEMS IN THIE COURSE OF MEIYU FRONTAL RAINSToRM AB STRACT The 1Tleso—scale systems are the direct influencial systems of the Meiyu frontal rainstorm Because their regional，abrupt characters and the complicated relations to all scales of systems．n’S hard to find the causes of their occuiTence and development and the rules of their infection on the rainstorm．Adopting high resolution nested grid project and proper physical parameter，A Mei-Yu heavy rain process during eight July 22，2002 mad eight July 23，2002 and the meso一13一scale systems alongwith it，were simulated by use of PSU／NCAR meso—scale nonstatic numerical forecast model MM5 in this paper．The simulation result describes successfully the spatial and temporal distribution of this rain process and the developing course of the concomitant meso．B．scale systems．The result shows that the dynamic field and themlodynamic field in the zone of the Meiyu front have obvious meso-scale structure characters，the Mciyu frontal rainfall is caused by a series of meso—scale convective systems in the zone ofMeiyu front，the dynamic field and thermodynamic field corresponding to the meso—scale convective systems take on evidem meso。scale structure，the structure of the dynamic field and thermodynamic field will adjust correspondingly in the course of the development of the meso—scale convective systems，what’s more，the adjustments and the changes of the physical parameters will restricted the development and transformation of the meso-