人口变动对区域消费水平影响研究.docVIP

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2019-05-13 发布于安徽
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人口变动对区域消费水平影响研究.doc

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目录第 4 章人口变动对区域消费影响的定量研究·····························································23 模型选择·················································································································24 面板数据平稳性检验与协整检验··········································································24 省际面板数据回归模型检验结果··········································································27 模型回归结果分析 ·································································································27 区域政府消费水平回归结果············································································27 区域居民消费水平回归结果············································································29 结果分析···········································································································31 第 5 章结论与思考········································································································32 人口城市化滞后发展阻碍区域消费内需扩大······················································32 教育水平参差不齐减缓区域消费模式优化···························································33 人口流动集聚效应带动区域消费水平提高···························································34 充分利用年龄结构差异发挥区域消费优势···························································34 参考文献····························································································································36 附录····························································································································39 致谢····························································································································59 攻读学位期间取得的科研成果 ························································································60 V 第 1 章序言第 1 章序言研究背景改革开放以来，特别是进入 21 世纪后，我国经济增长对于出口和国际市场的依赖度过高，在受金融危机的冲击，外需急剧萎缩，导致外资及出口大幅下降时，使经济增长的持续性受到影响，这种作用加之我国人口形势的转变，形成了我国经济发展转方式、调结构的“倒逼机制”。进入后金融危机时代，拉动内需、扩大居民消费已成为经济结构调整、提高经济发展质量和效益的重点。2011 年我国最终消费支出为 3.48 万亿美元，占 GDP 的 47%，全球排名 139 位。按 2000 年