山区高速公路交通安全指标分析与安全评价研究-载运工具运用工程专业毕业论文.docxVIP

摘要摘要 摘要 摘要 山区高速公路是全封闭、多车道、具有中央分隔带、全立体交叉、集中管理、 控制出入、多种安全服务设施配套齐全的高标准汽车专用公路。具有行驶速度高， 通行能力大、交通事故率低等特点。但由于山区高速公路交通量大、车速高，一 旦发生交通事故，往往是重大以上事故，甚至是特大恶性事故，一次事故殃及车 辆数多、伤亡率高，易在处理中造成大面积交通阻塞。 论文从系统的思想考虑，首先参照一般评价体系的建立原则，确定建立山区 高速公路交通安全系统评价体系的原则：其次，通过对山区高速公路交通安全系统 特性及构成进行分析，采用定性与定量结合的方法选取山区高速公路交通安全系 统评价体系的评价指标：最后，对评价指标作量化处理，并用层次分析法确定各项 评价指标的权重。 对安全评价所需的指标进项量化处理，采用模糊数学方法，建立山区高速公 路交通安全系统评价的二级模糊综合评价模型，对山区高速公路交通安全性进行 综合评价。最后通过金丽温高速公路的实例分析，证明对于所建立的评价体系和 模型的研究具有较强的实用价值。 关键字：山区高速公路；安全评价 模糊综合评价 层次分析法 AbstractMontane Abstract Montane highway is completely closed，multi—lane，with central median, the entire interchange， central ized management， access control， mu上tlple securitv services facil ities complete high standards for road vehicles． A high—speed highway traffic，the characteristics of large capacity，low in case of accident rate．However， as highway traffic volume，high speed， serious accidents, a traffic accident is often more major accidents，and even rate of casualties, an accident affecting the number of vehicles，the high in the handl ing of the easy causing widespread traffic congestion．． 0f settlng uP From a systemic thinking， consult with the principles the Mountain a conunonly evaluation system，the principles of． setting uP the Highwaysafety evaluat i on system was confirmed at first，then， through analysis of the characteristic and the structure of Montane Higfhway satety svstem，chosen the indexes by a conjoint way of integrated the qualltatlVe the and quantitatire， at last，made the indexes quantifiable and assured sa士ety proportion of every index by AHP After this，the Montane HighwaY evaluation was set up． After assured the quantitative indexes， fuzzy math way was chosen to of Montane Highway set up a two—grade fuzzy synthetical evaluation model last, safety system t。evaluate the running safety。f a traffic tunnel·At and the practically value。f the study。f the founded eValuati。n system the evaluation model were proved by the example of Jin Liwen HighwaY Key w。rds：Montane Highw