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L2: Modern Portfolio Theory
Advanced Investment Management
Lent Term 2015
Dr. Chelsea Yao
Noble-Prize-Winning Insights
Harry Markowitz–“For having developed the theory of portfolio
choice” (Nobel Prize:1990)
William Sharpe–“For his contributions to the theory of price
formation for financial assets, the so-called Capital Asset Pricing
Model (CAPM)“ (Nobel Prize:1990)
2
Lecture Overview
1. Diversification and Portfolio Risk
2. Covariance and Correlation in Portfolio Construction
3. Minimum-variance Portfolio
4. Portfolio Opportunity Set
5. Efficient Frontier
6. Separation Property
3
Portfolio Construction
• Portfolio construction generally has three steps:
– Capital allocation between the risky portfolio and risk-free assets
(what we did last lesson).
• The optimal capital allocation depends on risk aversion and
the risk-return trade-off of the optimal risky portfolio.
– Asset allocation across wide asset classes (stocks, international
stocks, long-term bonds).
– Security selection.
• In this lesson, we will examine the risky portfolio and discuss the
power of diversification.
4
Diversification and Portfolio Risk
• There are two main sources of risks in a portfolio:
– Firm-specific risks
– Economy (business cycle, inflation, interest rates, etc.)
• Consider a portfolio that has only one stock: BT
• Now consider another portfolio that has two stocks: BT and Sainsbury
• With diversification (adding more securities to our portfolio), we can
reduce our exposure to firm-specific risks (portfolio volatility is
reduced).
•
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