制度环境对我国服务业发展区域差异影响的实证研究.docVIP

制度环境对我国服务业发展区域差异影响的实证研究 暨南大学硕士学位论文 中文摘要 对于服务业发展差距的成因,学者们从国内生产总值、城市化水平、人口密度、城市 规模、就业比重等方面均做过探讨,然而制度和政策的因素在既有的研究中没有得到足够 重视。一个有效率的经济组织是经济增长的决定因素,良好的制度环境、有效的经济体制 和适当的激励机制能够充分发挥各种经济要素的生产潜力,促进生产发展和经济增长。处 于转轨时期的中国,服务业发展区域差异如此明显,可能是中央政府、地区政策实施力度 不同所引起的。 本文利用我国 31 个省市服务业发展的面板数据,运用聚类分析方法将其划分为三大 区域,并用δ收敛指数对区域差异进行了测度。本文将制度量化为若干变量,其中市场化、 对外开放程度、政府行为及优惠政策构成我国各地区服务业发展出现差异的制度环境因 素,建立了制度和政策对我国服务业发展区域差异影响的变系数模型,并用 FGLS 对其进 行估计。计量实证结果显示:制度变迁进程在省份之间的不均匀分布会导致区域服务业发 展不均衡的现象。本文的结尾为地区服务业发展提供了相应的政策建议。 关键词:区域服务业 制度环境 市场化 政府行为 I暨南大学硕士学位论文 Abstract With regard to the reason of disparity on development of service, scholars have discussed lots of factors, including GDP, level of urbanization, density of population, scale of city as well as proportion of employment. However, institutional and political factor can’t be paied attention to in existing papers. An efficient economic organization is determinant of economic growthFavorable institutional environment, effective economic system and appropriate incentive mechanism can give full play to productive potential of economic factors, promote product development and economic growth. China, at the age of transition, the regional disparities of development of service results from the difference of governmental or regional policy This paper uses panel data from 31 provinces or cities in our country about the development of service, which is divided into three areas in the method of cluster analysis. It also uses δ convergence exponent to measure regional disparities. The institution is quantized into several variables. Marketization, the level of opening door to the outside world, government behavior and preferential policy consists of institutional factors, which lead to the disparity among areas.A model of panel regression between institution and development of regional service is made, which is estimated by FGLS. Demonstration in econometrics shows: the process of nonuniform institutional change will res