经济词典故事囚徒困境.pptVIP

Prisoners Dilemma 囚徒困境 Dormitory 522 Classic Prisoners Dilemma In 1950, Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher work out the plight of related theory, then consultant Albert Tucker named the prisoners dilemma. Classic prisoners dilemma as follows: Classic Prisoners Dilemma Police arrested a, b two suspects, but dont have enough evidence to charge two men into sin. So the police separated imprisoned suspects, and respectively meet them, and provided both parties the following the same choice: if a man confessed and to be a prosecution witness (related terms says betrayal each other), and the other party remain silent, this person will be released immediately, and the silent one will be sentenced to 10 years in prison. Classic Prisoners Dilemma If two people keep silent (related terms says cooperation each other), the two people also sentenced to prison for 1 year. If two people debunk each other (related terms called each other betrayal), the two people also sentenced to eight years in prison. Use this form as follows: Table 1 Analysis Like other example of game theory, the prisoner dilemma assume that every participant (namely prisoner) are selfish, or seek their own maximum interests, and not enough to the interests of the other participants. Participants in one of the strategic interest income, if in any case are better than any other strategy, this strategy is called the strict disadvantage”, rational participants would never choose. In addition, no other power intervene personal decisions, participants can be fully willing to choose according to his strategy. Analysis What strategy should the prisoner choose to put his own personal sentence narrowed to the shortest? Two prisoners are seperated , and do not know each other choice; And even if they can talk, or may not be able to do believe each other. The rational choice of individual character, against each other is better than to have lower total silence. Try imagine dilemma two rational