从上合组织面临的困境解读其未来发展（可编辑）.docVIP

从上合组织面临的困境解读其未来发展 中 文 摘 要 上合组织是一个新型的区域合作机制,在冷战后新的国际环境中成长起来的具有多 边主义性质的区域性国际组织。上合组织的初始发展经受住了严峻的历史考验,已经取 得了机制架构基本成型、合作理念牢牢确立的可喜发展成就。但是,随着上合组织的进 一步发展,上合组织所面临的发展困境逐步显现出来,已经成为制约其长远而具有实质 性发展的重大紧迫问题。上合组织发展战略定位不明朗,文化观念、集体身份认同淡薄, 利益分享协调困难,大多协议、政策的落实有名无实,上合组织各成员国间角色分工存 在难以协调的矛盾等困境。从外部环境来看,上合组织同时也面临着机制扩容“守与进” 的两难境地、作为一个区域性国际组织本身及其成员国与美国、其它中亚区域组织行为 体间存在着的诸多错综复杂的外交关系。 上合组织的未来之路面临着诸多发展困境,如何突破当前制约上合组织发展的内、 外困境实现务实发展,成为上合组织当前面临的重大考验。本文结合地区公共产品理论, 对上合组织地区内公共产品需求现状、上合组织对其地区内公共产品的供给权能进行解 读,分析论证上合组织突破发展困境的可行性。 上合组织要想在未来发展中开创出一条新兴的务实发展之路,必须以法律和共同价 值观整合和强化一体化力量,以应对非传统安全威胁和自身所具有潜质性的能源合作创 新合作内容,打造上合组织框架内的品牌性合作成果,对其他合作领域的拓展和深化起 到带动和示范效应,以此壮大上合组织的发展势头;发挥中国引领前行的角色功能,增 强上合组织内部治理和国际行为能力;建立“同心圆”式的对外关系层,从机制上规范 和理顺上合组织及其成员国目前存在着的错综复杂的对外关系。上合组织的未来发展才 能突破制约其当前发展的内、外困境,开创具有里程碑意义的新发展之路。 关键词:上合组织,中亚四国,困境,未来发展 ABSTRACT Shanghai Cooperation Organization SCO is a new regional cooperation regime as well as a multilateral regional organization developed in the post Cold War international environmentThe SCO has withstood severe historical tests in its initial development phase and has achieved satisfying achievements in forming the basic regime framework and firmly establishing the cooperation concept. Nevertheless, with its development, the predicaments facing the SCO are beginning to emerge, and have become a critical and urgent issue that is to constrain its long-term substantial development. Those predicaments include unclear strategic positioning, ambiguous and weak cultural concepts and collective identity, difficult reconciliation of conflicting interests, unwarranted implementation of most of its agreements and policies as well as that of roles assigned to member states in the SCO. Seen from the perspective of external environment, the SCO is confronted with the difficult strategic choice of whether to expand or maintain the present size as well as numerous intricate relationships of the SCO itself as a regional organization and its member states with the U.S. an