真实储蓄率的改进研究.pdfVIP

第 30 卷第8 期 统计研究 Vol. 30 , No.8 2013 年 8 月 Statistical Research Aug. 2013 真实储蓄率的改进研究 许永洪王斐斐 内容提要:本文从两个角度对真实储蓄率进行了改进:一是将政府经常性支出作为制度因素纳入真实储蓄核 算，解决了真实储蓄率与新国民财富体系在统计口径上的不一致问题;二是将外贸因素纳入真实储蓄核算，从对外 开放风险的角度克服真实储蓄率在资源经济价值核算上的缺陷。本文的实证研究证明了制度因素纳入真实储蓄 率的合理性和对外开放程度会影响资金使用效率，但是对外贸风险的线性调整方式在统计意义上并不显著。 关键词:真实储蓄;政府经常性支出;国民财富;制度资本;可持续发展 中固分类号:C812 文献标识码:A 文章编号:1002 -4565(2013)08 -0038 -07 Study on Improvement of Genuine Savings Rate Xu Yonghong Wang Feifei Abstract: We improve the genuine savings rate from two aspects. First , we add government recurrent expenditure in genuine savings rate , from which we solve the inconsistency of genuine savings and new national wealth accounting. Second , we adjust the genuine savings rate by import and expo此， which can consider the opening risk of a nation. Adding government recurrent expenditure as institutional capital in genuine savings rate is proved reasonable in the empirical research , and import and export shows its importance in capital efficiency of genuine savings , but adding it to genuine saving rates linearly is not supported in the empirical research. Key words: Genuine Savings; Government Recurrent Expenditure; National Wealth; Institutional Capital; Sustainable Development *本文为第四届统计学年会推荐论文;为国家社科基金青年项目房地产指数价格理论与应用研究.. ( 12CTJOI4) 、全国统计科研计划一 般项目官方统计方法改革与创新:基于行政记录的视角(2011LY086 )与福建省自然科学基金青年项目住房价格指数编制理论与应用研 究 (2011J0102) 的阶段性成果。 [ 8 J Smith , Herman. Treatment of liquidity transformation in FISIM [C/ [ 13 J Colangelo , A. R. Mink. B