astitchintimeadaptationtoclimatevariabilityandchangeisse在时间的适应气候变化isse一针.pptxVIP

AStitchinTimeAdaptationtoClimateVariabilityandChangeISSE在时间的适应气候变化ISSE一针会计学AdaptationActions taken by individuals, institutions, and governmentsAnticipatoryActions taken in advance of climate change effectsResponsiveThe severity of impacts will depend on the capacity to adapt and its effective deploymentVulnerability and AdaptationEbi et al. 2005Adaptation BaselineWhat is being done now to reduce the burden of disease? How effective are these policies and measures?What could be done now to reduce current vulnerability? What are the main barriers to implementation?What measures should begin to be implemented to increase the range of possible future interventions?Why Not Just React to Climate Change as It Happens?Long time frame and uncertainties with climate change make anticipating adaptation difficultThere may be irreversible and catastrophic impacts that cannot be mitigatedOpportunities to mitigate climate change impacts through anticipation may be missedDifficulty with AnticipatingClimate Change and its ImpactsDirectionMagnitudeTimingPathQuestions for Designing Adaptation Policies MeasuresAdaptation to what?What are the future projections for the outcome? Who is vulnerable?On scale relevant for adaptationIs additional intervention needed?Modifying existing prevention measuresReinstitute effective prevention programs that have been neglected or abandonedNew risksWho adapts? How does adaptation occur?When should interventions be implemented?How good or likely is the adaptation?Remove Your Tie – Save the PlanetJapan Times 30 April 2005GlobalAlps Global and Alpine Temperatures 1901-20001.510.5Beniston, M., 2000: Environmental Change in Mountains and Uplands, Arnold, LondonChange in T relative to 1961-1990 [°C]0-0.5-1-1.519001910192019301940195019601970198019902000+3°C?2050?Glacier Retreat:Tschierva Glacier, Engadine2000Courtesy: Max MaischUniversity of Zürich, SwitzerlandTam Pokhari 3 Sept 1998Photo: Danek ~1997Source: Dwivedi 2003Flood From Tam PokhariPhotos: L