人民币汇率变动对浙江经济的影响.docVIP

PAGE PAGE 26 人民币汇率变动对浙江经济的影响 摘要：现今的社会经济是一个开放性的经济，在开放性经济环境下，汇率作为宏观经济中一个重要的变量，将国内外市场链接起来。一方面，汇率在一个国家的对外贸易经济发展和国际上资本流动的过程中处于比较核心的位置，对一个国家的贵外经济贸易和国际上的收支产生非常直接的影响；另一方面，汇率也通过对居民的消费和物价等因素的影响对经济的稳定增长产生影响。因此，从理论上面来看，汇率的变动情况对一个国家经济的增长影响具有双向的作用，另一方面，汇率贬值也会阻碍经济增长。因此，汇率的变动对经济的影响的具有一定的不确定性，汇率对一个国家或地区的经济影响是积极的还是消极的，需要根据不同国家的现实情况来决定。 本文在相关理论的基础上，分析人民币汇率的变动情况对浙江省经济发展所造成的影响情况，具体是从两个方面来进行分析的，一是对浙江省国家贸易发展的影响，二是通过浙江省外商直接投资的分析来评价对浙江省经济发展的影响情况，通过实证分析的方法来进行分析，为浙江省经济的发展和加强对人民币汇率的调整提供一定的指导和参考依据。 关键词：人民币汇率经济增长作用机制 The influence of the RMB exchange rate on Chinas economy Abstract: In an open economy, the exchange rate as an important macroeconomic variable is linked domestic and foreign economic ties and bridges. On the one hand, the exchange rate is the key factor in the decision of foreign trade and international capital flows, a direct impact on a countrys balance of payments situation. On the other hand, the exchange rate will affect the steady economic growth through consumption, prices, money supply and other factors. In theory, the exchange rate effect on economic growth is bidirectional. On the one hand, exchange rate depreciation can promote economic growth. On the other hand, exchange rate depreciation will hinder economic growth. Therefore, the exchange rate effect on economic growth is uncertain, in the end is a positive effect or a negative effect is greater than the negative effects than positive effects, depending on the specific country circumstances and given the economic development. Based on the impact of exchange rate changes on Chinas economic growth, analysis of the specific impact of exchange rate changes on economic growth, and analysis of exchange rate changes on economic growth overall effect. Provide theoretical and empirical support for the analysis of exchange rate changes on economic growth affect the ways and modes. Keywords: RMB exchange；rate Economic Growth ；Mechanism 一、引言 进入21世纪，全球经济一体化，在贸易自由化和金融开放化不断加强的这一大的背景之下，汇率已经成为各国调整经济发展的一个重要条杠杆。汇率的变动情况如何将会直接对一个国家的经济