A comprehensive investor guide to
scenario-based methods for climate risk
assessment, in response to the TCFD
May 2019
Changing Course | | 1
Twenty institutional investors from eleven countries, convened by UNEP FI and supported
by Carbon Delta, have worked throughout 2018–2019 to analyse, evaluate, and test, state-
of-the-art methodologies to enable 1.5°C, 2°C, and 3°C scenario-based analysis of their
portfolios in line with the recommendations of the FSB’s Task Force on Climate-related
Financial Disclosures (TCFD). The outputs and conclusions of this Pilot are captured
in the following report and aim to enhance the understanding and ease adoption of the
TCFD recommendations by the wider investment industry.
UN Environment – Finance Initiative is a Vivid Economics is a strategic consul- Carbon Delta is a climate change data
partnership between UN Environment tancy providing our private and public analytics firm that quantifies investment
and the global financial sector created in clients with deep sectoral and thematic risks for more than 30,000 companies
the wake of the 1992 Earth Summit with expertise at the nexus of finance, along numerous climate change scenarios.
a mission to promote sustainable finance. commerce and the environment. For our With our Climate Value-at-Risk (CVaR)
More than 200 financial institutions, financial sector clients, we provide policy model we aim to em power financial
including banks, insurers, and investors, and market intelligence, scenario model- institutions with the tools necessary to
work with UN Environment to under- ling, and risk and opportunity assessment protect assets from the worst effects
stand today’s environmen
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