美国绿色贸易壁垒等因素对中国水产品对美国出口贸易的影响.docx

? ? 美国绿色贸易壁垒等因素对中国水产品对美国出口贸易的影响 ? ? 张全 杨正勇 Summary：為促进中国水产品出口贸易和水产业绿色发展，文章基于相关数据和泊松伪最大似然估计方法，分析美国绿色贸易壁垒等因素对中国水产品对美国出口贸易的影响，并提出发展建议。研究结果表明：美国是中国水产品出口贸易的重要市场，2000—2018年中国水产品对美国出口额呈整体上升趋势，其中在2014年达到峰值后有所下降;绿色贸易壁垒对出口贸易的影响具有双重性，美国绿色贸易壁垒对中国水产品对美国出口贸易产生负向影响，且对鱼类水产品的影响更加显著;中国水产品总产量、美国人均国民净收入和美国金融危机对中国水产品对美国出口贸易有显著正向影响，美国鱼类生产者价格等对中国水产品对美国出口贸易有显著负向影响，其中美国鱼类生产者价格和美国人均国民净收入等对非鱼类水产品的影响不显著;未来中国应正确应对绿色贸易壁垒、积极推进区域性对外贸易合作以及大力发展水产业。 Key：绿色贸易壁垒;水产品出口贸易;出口额;水产业;中美贸易 ：F752;F326.4;P745文献标志码：A：1005-9857（2022）06-0010-08 The Influence of American Green Trade Barrier and Other Factors on the Export Trade of Chinese Aquatic Products to the USA ZHANG Quan1 ，YANG Zhengyong1，2，3 （1.Collcge of Economics and Management，Shanghai Ocean University-Shanghai 201306，China;2.Strategic Research and Development Center of China Fisheries，Shanghai 201306，China; 3.Strategic Research and Development Center of Marine Industry，Shanghai 201306，China） Abstract：In order to promote the export trade of aquatic products in China and the green development of the aquatic industry，based on the relevant data and Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood estimation method，this paper analyzed the impact of factors such as green trade barriers in the United States on the export trade of Chinese aquatic products to the United States，and put forward development suggestions. The results showed that the United States was an important market for Chinese aquatic products export trade. From 2000 to 2018，Chinese aquatic products exports to the United States showed an overall upward trend，and it declined after reaching a peak in 2014. The impact of green trade barriers on export trade was dual. The green trade barriers in the United States had a negative impact on Chinese aquatic products on the export trade of the United States，and the impact on fish aquatic products was more significant. The total output of Chinese aquatic products，the per capita net national income of the United States and the US financial crisis had a significant pos